Make Or Break Week For Gold And Miners
To no surprise, everything is lining up to either breakout higher or breakdown this week. I think bullish sentiment is very high…and the corrections into the May low’s seemed inadequate. Whichever way prices break following the Brexit vote will determine if the 6-month cycle bottomed in late May or if this move has been a false breakout.
US Dollar
The dollar made another bullish engulfing pattern and prices are dangerously close to breaking support at 93.38. Another make or break situation is developing.
Gold Prices
Gold prices closed below the 10-day moving average (MA) and are quickly approaching support at the 20/50-day MA’s. If $1,201.50 is the 6-month low, prices will bottom this week, make a common cycle low, and turn higher. If $1,201.50 isn’t the 6-month low, prices will drop to the 200-day MA, and then perhaps to support around $1,130-$1,110.
Silver Prices
Silver prices have been trading sideways ahead of the Thursday Brexit resolution. Like gold, silver prices will break higher or lower either confirming or denying the formation of a 6-month low.
GDX
Prices are slowly rolling over, and, I think, the false breakout theory may be playing out. Note: MFI (top) dropped back below the breakout trend line.
GDXJ
Junior miners are holding up better than the seniors, but they too may be rolling over.
SPY
Stocks are also poised to either breakout to new highs or lower to establish a new downtrend.
WTIC
Oil prices are about as high as I would like to see them, if this is just a bounce, before dropping to the July target. A solid close above $50.00 will likely take prices to the $56.00 level previously mentioned.
Finally, non-commercial speculative long contracts are at 20-year highs whereas smart money (commercials) have remained at record shorting levels. The big boys are shorting gold, and they're usually right. If U.K. voters choose to continue in the EU, precious metals and miners could sell off sharply. The odds currently suggest Britain will remain.
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Gold-Eagle provides regular commentary and analysis of gold, precious metals and the economy. Be the first to be informed by signing up for our free email newsletter.
AG is an accredited CMT through the MTA and the editor of GoldPredict.com. His members receive daily updates and regularly scheduled reports 3-days a week. He prides himself on making his analysis easy to understand through the use of adaptive and creative charting methods. You can reach AG at [email protected].
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